The Reasons Middle Eastern Investment Hasn't Turned The Magpies into Title Challengers
The Newcastle manager isn't typically given to dramatics or sweeping public pronouncements. So by his usual demeanor, his media briefing after Sunday’s loss to West Ham qualifies as a angry tirade. His side took an early lead but the opposition were ahead by the interval, while also striking the woodwork and having a penalty overturned by VAR, leading Howe to make a triple change at the break.
“The opening period was particularly irritating,” the coach said. “Virtually any player could have been substituted and I believe this indicated of where we were at that stage in the game and it’s very, very rare for me to feel that way. Actually, I cannot recall I have during my tenure as manager of the club, so I felt the team needed a significant change at the break. This explains why I did what I did.”
Three key players all came off at the interval and the team did stabilise somewhat in the latter period, without ever appearing like they might fight back into the contest against a side that had won only one of their previous nine league matches. Given how packed the centre of the standings is, with a mere three-point gap dividing the top spots from mid-table, and nine points between second and 17th, a run of 12 points from 10 games has not placed Newcastle stranded but, similarly, they must not end the campaign in 13th.
The Issue of Perception
The challenge partially is one of perception. In the Saudi Public Investment Fund, Newcastle have the richest backers in the world. The expectation at the time the PIF acquired 80% of the team in 2021 was that it would have a transformative effect, as the former Chelsea owner achieved at Stamford Bridge or Sheikh Mansour did at the Etihad. The difference is that those two owners took over before the advent of financial fair play regulations (while the ongoing charges against City concern if they breached those regulations after they were implemented).
Profit and sustainability regulations restrict the capacity of proprietors, no matter how wealthy, to invest funds on their squads and so in that sense likely would have hindered any Middle Eastern effort to elevate the team to the level of City. But it wasn't necessary for Newcastle’s spending to have been so restrained as it has; they might have invested further and remained within the limit – or simply taken a fairly minor European fine given their big issue is primarily with the European than the Premier League regulation.
Stadium Spending and PSR Regulations
Additionally, stadium development is exempted from PSR assessments; the simplest way to raise income to generate more PSR flexibility would be to extend or renovate the arena. Considering the site of St James’ Park, with listed buildings on two sides, practically that likely means constructing an completely new venue. Rumors circulated in spring of potentially making the nearby relocation to Leazes Park – opposition from local groups could surely have been surmounted with a commitment to create a replacement green space on the existing ground location – but there has been no movement on that proposal. There has occurred substantial retrenchment from the Saudi fund on a range of initiatives as it shifts focus on domestic affairs; the approach to the football club seems completely in alignment with that strategic shift.
The Alexander Isak Situation
The Alexander Isak episode was arose from that tension. A more confident leadership could have portrayed his sale as necessary to free up capital for additional investment; instead there was a unsuccessful effort to keep him. That meant the team started the campaign amidst a feeling of disappointment despite the signings of Woltemade, Yoane Wissa, Jacob Ramsey, Malick Thiaw and Anthony Elanga. The opening was mixed: a single victory in their initial six fixtures.
But it appeared a turning point was reached. They had won five victories in six matches before Sunday, a streak that featured demolitions of a Belgian side and Benfica in the Champions League. This explains the performance against the Hammers was so surprising. The issue perhaps is that Newcastle’s approach is very aggressive, high-energy; a slight drop-off in energy can have profound consequences. Perhaps the pressure of domestic, European and cup matches, five games in a fortnight, had got to them. The German forward featured in each of those matches and appeared especially weary.
The Nature of Contemporary Football
This is the reality of today's football. Coaches have to be ready to make changes. The manager has been unlucky that Wissa’s fitness issue has left him lacking forward choices but, no matter how valid the explanations, Sunday’s showing was unacceptable –particularly following scoring first at a stadium ready to criticize its home team.
Howe will wish it was just a blip, an off-day when everybody is off-colour at once, but if the Magpies are to secure the Champions League next season, let alone one day mount an actual championship bid, they must not be as unreliable as this.